Bangladesh Outlook

Comprehensive macro snapshot — GDP, inflation, reserves, fiscal, and structural risk

Exchange Rate Trends (5 years)

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Source: MoF Budget Documents

Total Budget FY26

6.8% GDP · MoF Budget Document

৳7.97T ($65.6B)

Revenue Target

NBR: ৳4.63T · NBR

৳5.41T ($44.5B)

Fiscal Deficit

4.6% GDP · MoF Budget Document

৳2.56T ($21.1B)

ADP (Development)

Utilization: ~65% · Planning Division IMED

৳2.65T ($21.8B)

Debt/GDP

Sustainable per IMF threshold · IMF Article IV, Apr 2025

39.2%

Interest Payments

20% of revenue · MoF Budget Document

৳1.13T ($9.3B)

Editorial assessment · Multiple sources

LDC Graduation (Nov 2026)HIGH

Loss of TRIPS pharma waiver, EU GSP duty-free access. 3-year transition started.

UN CDP · Nov 2024

Energy Import DependencyHIGH

LNG imports at $3.2B/yr. Gas production declining 7% annually. Rooppur nuclear 2025.

Petrobangla / BPDB · FY2024-25

Banking Sector NPLsMEDIUM

Non-performing loans at 13.2% (official). Actual estimates higher. Recapitalization needed.

Bangladesh Bank BRPD · Sep 2025

Climate VulnerabilityHIGH

Top 7 most climate-affected country. Cyclone Mocha 2023. Annual flood damage ~$2B.

Germanwatch CRI · 2024 report

Revenue/GDP RatioMEDIUM

At 7.4%, lowest in South Asia. New VAT automation (eTIN) rolling out slowly.

NBR / IMF Article IV · FY2024-25

Digital Infrastructure GapLOW

4G penetration ~40%. 5G trial underway in Dhaka. Internet cost per GB declining rapidly.

BTRC · Dec 2025

Live indicators (macro cards): Scraped every 5 minutes from Bangladesh Bank, BBS, and market sources via news middleware telemetry pipeline.

GDP trend: Multi-source aggregation from World Bank WDI, IMF WEO, and ADB Key Indicators. Updated quarterly.

Fiscal & risks: Editorially curated from MoF budget documents, IMF Article IV, UN CDP, and sector regulators. Reviewed monthly.